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Base Rate Neglect

‘Left to our own devices, however, we often underutilize base rates.’
Dawes (2001)

‘Meehl and Rosen (1955) first decried base-rate neglect in the very applied context of psychiatric diagnoses (in staff meetings with which they were familiar).’
Dawes (2001)

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Links

• wiseGEEK: What is Base Rate Neglect?

Reference

• DAWES, Robyn M., 2001. Everyday Irrationality: How Pseudo-Scientists, Lunatics, and the Rest of Us Systematically Fail to Think Rationally. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.